Reasoning under uncertainty within the context of probability education: A case study of preservice mathematics teachers
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Resumo
Interpreting phenomena under uncertainty stands as a substantial cognitive activity in our daily life. Furthermore, in probability education research, there is a need for developing a unified model that involves several probabilistic conceptions. From this aspect, a central inquiry has been raised through this study: how do preservice mathematics teachers (PSMTs) reason under uncertainty? A multiple case study design was operated in which a purposive sample of PSMTs was selected to justify their reasoning in two probabilistic contexts while their responses were coded by NVivo, and corresponding categories were developed. As a result, PSMTs’ probabilistic reasoning was classified into mathematical (M), subjective (S), and outcome-oriented (O). Besides, several biases emerged along with these modes of reasoning. While M thinkers shared equiprobability and insensitivity to prior probability, the prediction bias and the belief of Allah’s willingness were yielded among S thinkers. Also, the causal conception spread among O thinkers.
Dados da obra
- Tipo
- Artigo
- Periódico
- Pythagoras, v. 42, n. 1
- Editora
- AOSIS
- Ano
- 2021 (2021-12-17)
- Idioma
- en
- Palavras-chave
- uncertainty reasoning; probability education; pre-service mathematics teachers; probabilistic reasoning; equiprobability; prediction bias; subjective probability; prior probability; cognitive biases
- Temas
- Probabilidade
- DOI
- 10.4102/pythagoras.v42i1.630
- ISSN
- 1012-2346, 2223-7895
- Licença
- cc-by
- Acesso
- Download disponível
- Fontes
- OpenAlex
- Na Biblioteca desde
- 01/10/2026 · verificada em 03/10/2026
Como citar
ABNT
ELBEHARY, Samah Gamal Ahmed. Reasoning under uncertainty within the context of probability education: A case study of preservice mathematics teachers. Pythagoras, v. 42, n. 1, 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4102/pythagoras.v42i1.630.
APA
Elbehary, S. G. A. (2021). Reasoning under uncertainty within the context of probability education: A case study of preservice mathematics teachers. Pythagoras, 42(1). https://doi.org/10.4102/pythagoras.v42i1.630
BibTeX
@article{elbehary2021,
author = {Elbehary, Samah Gamal Ahmed},
title = {Reasoning under uncertainty within the context of probability education: A case study of preservice mathematics teachers},
year = {2021},
journal = {Pythagoras},
volume = {42},
number = {1},
publisher = {AOSIS},
doi = {10.4102/pythagoras.v42i1.630},
language = {en}
}RIS
TY - JOUR AU - Elbehary, Samah Gamal Ahmed TI - Reasoning under uncertainty within the context of probability education: A case study of preservice mathematics teachers PY - 2021 JO - Pythagoras VL - 42 IS - 1 DO - 10.4102/pythagoras.v42i1.630 LA - en ER -
Referência gerada automaticamente a partir dos metadados das fontes; confira com o documento original. Baixar BibTeX · Baixar RIS
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